Sunday, February 12, 2017

Betting Robot

Can't trust your instinct in betting or stock market gambling?  There's a robot that may help. CNN published an article on  Robot making money off Trump's tweets.

Austin-based marketing company T3 has created a robot -- dubbed the "Trump and Dump" -- that analyzes Trump's Twitter feed. Every time the president sends a negative tweet about a publicly traded company, the bot automatically short sells that company's stock, which means the bot essentially places a bet that the company's stock price will go down. And they've been making money doing it, says T3 President Ben Gaddis. The proceeds are then donated to the American Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Animals.

This "bot" is actually a software that automatically collect data (in this example, selected tweets), analyse it based on given set of rules and come out it a prediction. 

In this case, it's the stock market rules, whereby , a negative sentiment has a negative impact. Such is the perception. When a negative tweet goes out and has a negative impact on that company's stock, something positive comes out of it. 

Gaddis said his company isn't yet revealing how much money they've made, but he said so far four tweets have triggered the bot to short sell since it was launched in early January. They've made "excellent" returns on three of them.
Trump and Dump. Image: CNN

For example, when Trump tweeted about Delta's computer outage on Monday, the Trump and Dump bot was "all over it," Gaddis said, adding they saw a 4.47% return on investment.
Trump negative tweet

It might seem odd for a marketing firm to take on robotic short selling based on Trump's tweets, but Gaddis said T3 was perfectly poised to get the Trump and Dump bot up and running.

T3 says it develops social strategy for some major companies, such as Capital One and UPS. Part of what T3 does is build algorithms that can determine whether a tweet is saying something positive or negative about a company.

"All we had to do is take that knowledge and translate it into a trading platform," Gaddis said. He said after the idea was born, it took a T3 engineer two and a half days to get the bot up and running.

After this Trump and Dump betting bot, I'm sure there will be some tech-firm developing other bet bot to listen to other global leaders media comment and predict the market outcome.

Najib dan Jual, anyone?

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